‘The Situation is Dire’: Hostilities on Iran Tightens India's Kitchen Fuel Stock.
The repercussions of a war being fought nearly 3,000km away are now reaching India's households.
As US-Israeli strikes on Iran impede energy deliveries through the vital shipping lane, supplies of kitchen fuel are shrinking across India, forcing restaurants to shorten food lists, close earlier and in some cases cease operations entirely.
Social media is filled with video clips showing queues outside LPG distributors across Indian cities and towns as worries over fuel supplies escalate. Commercial LPG users appear the hardest struck: the biggest crunch is in commercial eateries.
"The situation is dire. LPG simply cannot be found," says a official of the an industry group.
Most restaurants run either on industrial fuel canisters or piped gas, and the shortages are now being experienced across the country. "Many restaurants have closed - some in the capital, many in the southern region. People are adopting coal and wood and electric cookers to keep kitchens going."
City-Specific Fallout
In a financial hub, media reports say up to a significant portion of eateries are already operating at reduced capacity as business fuel stocks dwindle. In the southern cities of tech and coastal hubs, some establishments say their fuel reserves have depleted with scarce alternatives. "Our menu is reduced to coffee and nothing else - it is nothing less than pathetic. Commerce will take a hit," says a business operator in Bengaluru.
Restaurant operators are scrambling to adapt. "Food options are being cut, some are opening only for dinner and reducing hours," an industry representative says, adding that shutdowns are changing as supplies come and go. "A number of eateries in Delhi were shut yesterday - two have already reopened. It's a fluid situation."
Retailers report a increase in sales of electronic cooking appliances, with some saying they are facing stockouts.
Government Stance
Yet, the government states there is no shortage.
India has more than a vast number of household consumers and authorities say supplies are being redirected to households as conflict-related stress from the regional hostilities ripple through energy markets.
Roughly a majority of India's LPG is imported, and about the vast majority of those shipments pass through the Strait of Hormuz, the vital passage now significantly disrupted by the hostilities.
The oil ministry says that it ordered refineries to boost LPG output for household consumption, raising domestic production by about a significant margin. Non-domestic supply is being allocated for critical services such as healthcare and education, while distribution will be "equitable and clear".
"Unnecessary hoarding and hoarding has been sparked by misinformation. The regular refill period for home fuel remains about 60 hours," says a ministry representative.
Growing Panic
Now the concern is extending beyond kitchens. On social media, a widely shared video from Chennai shows a lengthy, winding line of two-wheelers outside a gas outlet. "Concern is genuine," the caption reads.
According to data from market experts, concerns about India's broader energy security may be overstated.
India imports almost all of its crude oil. Around a significant portion of its crude oil imports - about 2.5 to 2.7 million barrels a day - travel through the waterway, largely from Gulf countries.
Even if crude flows through the Strait of Hormuz are hindered, the gap could be partly made up by higher imports of Russian petroleum, according to a refinery and oil markets analyst.
Based on maritime intelligence and expert analysis, additional Russian crude imports could reach around a significant volume of barrels a day, reducing India's effective deficit from exposure to the Strait of Hormuz to about 1.6 million barrels a day.
"Around 25-30 million Russian oil barrels are currently in transit at sea in the Indian Ocean and, with only two major Asian economies as major buyers, those barrels remain a ready fallback," an analyst noted.
Cooking Gas: The Critical Weakness
The primary concern is LPG, experts note.
India consumes roughly 1 million barrels a day, but produces only less than half domestically, importing the rest - most of it through the chokepoint.
Refineries can tweak operations to extract a bit more LPG, but even a 10-20% boost would only raise domestic supply to about around half of demand, leaving the country significantly leaning on imports.
In short: "Crude supply risk can be somewhat alleviated through diversification. Refined product supply remains largely sufficient. LPG availability is the critical issue to track in the coming weeks."
What may be intensifying the panic on the ground is not just tight supply but uneven distribution - and the familiar spectre of hoarding.
An industry representative states price gouging.
"Distributors are taking advantage of the situation - black-marketing cylinders and selling them at a inflated price. In one small town, I heard of cylinders being accumulated and sold to the highest bidder."
For now, India's energy imports may be cushioned by international market dynamics. But in restaurants across the country, the more urgent issue is simple: how to get the next cylinder.